Our researchers forecast that average battery prices could fall towards $80/kWh by 2026, amounting to a drop of almost 50% from 2023, a level at which battery electric vehicles would achieve ownership cost parity with gasoline-fueled cars in the US on an unsubsidized basis. Source: Company data, Wood Mackenzie, SNE Research, Goldman Sachs Research
The analysts concluded that this would be down to declining prices of EV raw materials, such as lithium, nickel, and cobalt. This would mean a battery would cost $99 per kilowatt hour, drastically reducing an electric car battery replacement cost.
It all depends on the size of your car's battery, how often you use it, the energy tariff you're on and how much you use public charge points. But as an example, charging a Nissan Leaf from empty to full once a week (which would give you about 160 miles) would cost about £140 a year on the cheapest EV tariff.
In the unlikely case that you will need to replace your car’s battery, it can cost anywhere from free to upwards of tens of thousands of pounds, depending on whether it’s under warranty or not. The current cost of a battery is around £118 per kilo-watt hour, to give some context a Tesla Model S 100 kWh battery would cost around £11,800 to replace.
All of these reasons have pushed lithium prices to an all-time high in 12 years, which translates to a rise in EV battery costs. And with global manufacturers investing more than $500 billion in electrifying their fleets, we might still see further price increases as carmakers compete for the available supply.
Fortunately, electric car batteries are built to last. Most new cars come with an 8-year or 100,000-mile battery warranty for your peace of mind. This means that the manufacturer will cover the replacement cost if there is a mechanical fault within this timeframe.
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Electric vehicle battery prices are expected to fall …
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